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Will Lin Fengmian's “Lady Holding Fan” hammer above its HK$600,000 high estimate?

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High estimate: HK$600KCatalogue no.: 109Sale: Aug 18, 2026Venue: Christie's · Summer Reverie: Chinese Paintings Online · Hong Kong

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How often does Lin Fengmian beat the high estimate?

The crowd here67%

History says75%

Across 60 of Lin Fengmian's sold works, 75% hammered above the high estimate. The crowd here sits at 67%. · base rate from 60 sold works (LiveArt)

Outcomes6900 credits total pool

Beats estimate

67%

1.49× return

At or below

33%

3.03× return

Pool split

Beats estimate4600 credits · 67%

At or below2300 credits · 33%

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ⓘ Winnings are always paid in Credits

Market-implied chance67% implied

Minimum stake100 credits

Est. return if correct148 credits

Shared pool · implied % drifts until close · settled by LiveArt