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Will Toshiko Takaezu's “Murphy” hammer above its US$70,000 high estimate?

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High estimate: US$70KCatalogue no.: 130Sale: Jul 28, 2026Venue: Wright · Object of Identity, Sold to Benefit LongHouse Reserve · Chicago

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How often does Toshiko Takaezu beat the high estimate?

The crowd here49%

History says87%

Across 60 of Toshiko Takaezu's sold works, 87% hammered above the high estimate. The crowd here sits at 49%. · base rate from 60 sold works (LiveArt)

Outcomes4570102 credits total pool

Beats estimate

49%

2.04× return

At or below

51%

1.96× return

Pool split

Beats estimate2219002 credits · 49%

At or below2351100 credits · 51%

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ⓘ Winnings are always paid in Credits

Market-implied chance49% implied

Minimum stake100 credits

Est. return if correct205 credits

Shared pool · implied % drifts until close · settled by LiveArt