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Will Xu Beihong's “Horse Scratching” hammer above its HK$400,000 high estimate?

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High estimate: HK$400KCatalogue no.: 87Sale: Aug 18, 2026Venue: Christie's · Summer Reverie: Chinese Paintings Online · Hong Kong

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How often does Xu Beihong beat the high estimate?

The crowd here61%

History says68%

Across 59 of Xu Beihong's sold works, 68% hammered above the high estimate. The crowd here sits at 61%. · base rate from 59 sold works (LiveArt)

Outcomes4600 credits total pool

Beats estimate

61%

1.64× return

At or below

39%

2.56× return

Pool split

Beats estimate2800 credits · 61%

At or below1800 credits · 39%

34 predictors

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Amount

ⓘ Winnings are always paid in Credits

Market-implied chance61% implied

Minimum stake100 credits

Est. return if correct162 credits

Shared pool · implied % drifts until close · settled by LiveArt