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Will Yoshitomo Nara's “Mederu” hammer above its ¥60,000,000 high estimate?
VoidedHigh estimate: ¥60MCatalogue no.: 0136Sale: Jul 18, 2026Venue: Mainichi Auction Inc. · MAIN SALE · Tokyo
Research this on LiveArt ↗ResultResolved Jul 21, 2026
Voidedrefunded
This market was voided — every stake was refunded in the currency it was placed.
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Powered by market dataHow often does Yoshitomo Nara beat the high estimate?
The crowd here53%
History says29%
Across 59 of Yoshitomo Nara's sold works, 29% hammered above the high estimate. The crowd here sits at 53%. · base rate from 59 sold works (LiveArt)
Outcomes1615519 credits total pool
Beats estimate
53%
1.89× return
At or below
47%
2.13× return
Pool split
Beats estimate855495 credits · 53%
At or below760024 credits · 47%
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Market-implied chance53% implied
Minimum stake100 credits
Est. return if correct188 credits
Shared pool · implied % drifts until close · settled by LiveArt